Economic Indicators

Monthly Economic Indicators

The Chamber tracks key statistics highlighting the Detroit Region’s economic well-being and offers analysis on how it will impact the business community.

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U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product

U.S. Economy Grew at a 2.8% Rate in Q3 2024

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the third quarter of 2024, according to the “advance” estimate. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.0 percent. The increase in the third quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. Read the full BEA report.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Chamber Perspective

Chamber Perspective Economic Indicators

Despite uncertainty as 2024 winds down, economic conditions have proved stable as third quarter U.S. GDP increased 2.8%, unemployment remained near 4%, and consumer sentiment rose to 73.0, the highest reading in six months. With two consecutive months of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, the slowing of the labor market and the move to lower inflation remain the focus. What does this mean for businesses? The rate cuts can lower borrowing costs, in turn encouraging growth in the labor market and across industry sectors. Looking further ahead, four more cuts from the Federal Reserve are anticipated in 2025.


Consumer Price Index

rose 2.6% over the last 12 months in October 2024.

Consumer Price Index

Michigan Unemployment

Increased at 4.7% in October 2024.

Michigan Unemployment

Consumer Sentiment

Registered at 73.0% in November 2024

Consumer Sentiment

Michigan and US Indicators

Monthly Unemployment Rate

Michigan Unemployment Increased in October

Michigan and the Detroit Region’s October 2024 monthly unemployment rate increased to 4.7%, falling 0.6 percentage points below the national rate of 4.1%. 



U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product

U.S. Economy Grew at a 2.8% Rate in Q3 2024

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.8 percent in the third quarter of 2024, according to the “advance” estimate. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 3.0 percent. The increase in the third quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending, exports, and federal government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. Read the full BEA report.

The GDP is measured as the total market value of the goods and services produced within a specific geography during a given time period. Gross domestic product is a key indicator of the general health of the economy and its performance, with increases indicative of economic growth.

Consumer Price Index

Inflation Ticks Up Slightly in October 2024

In October, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers rose 2.6% over the last 12 months, higher than September’s 2.4%. Core inflation held steady at 3.3%. Read the full report.

 

Consumer Sentiment

Consumer Sentiment Up for the Fourth Consecutive Month

According to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, consumer sentiment registered at 73.0 in November 2024. According to Surveys of Consumers director, Joanne Hsu, sentiment is now nearly 50% above its June 2022 trough but remains below pre-pandemic readings. Note that interviews for this release concluded on Monday and thus do not capture any reactions to election results.   Read the full report. 

 The Consumer Sentiment Index is a statistical measurement that provides an economic indicator of consumers’ opinion and optimism of the state of the economy. 

Labor Force Participation Rate

Michigan’s Labor Force Participation Remains Steady in September

The September statewide labor force participation rate remained steady at 62.3%, 0.4 percentage points below the national rate.

New Business Applications

Michigan’s New Business Applications Slows in September

New business applications decreased 4% month-over-month amounting to 9,155 in September 2024. Business applications decreased 16% compared to September 2023.

U.S. Manufacturing PMI®

PMI® Contracted For The Seventh Consecutive Month in October

The Manufacturing PMI® registered at 46.5% in October, 0.7 percentage point lower compared to the 47.2 percent reported in September and August, according to the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®).  According to Timothy Fiore, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing®, after breaking a 16-month streak of contraction by expanding in March, the manufacturing sector has contracted the last seventh months.

ISM® states a reading above 50% shows that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50% indicates that it is generally contracting. The index is based on a monthly survey of supply chain managers and measures general direction of economic trends in manufacturing and other sectors.

Detroit Metropolitan Airport Total Passengers

Passenger Traffic Increases Year-over-Year

Detroit Metropolitan Airport experienced a 3.2 % increase in total passengers in September 2024 totaling 2.7 million passengers compared to September 2023.

Automotive Economic Indicators

Annual U.S. Light Vehicle Sales (SAAR)

The September SAAR is at 15.8 million, lower than the forecast of 15.9 million but a healthy gain from last month’s 15.3 million pace and higher than the 2023 SAAR of 15.7 million. According to Cox Automotive, a key driver of the lower sales volume was fewer selling days: There were only 23 selling days last month, which is five fewer days than the previous month and three fewer than last year.  Read more 

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The Cox Automotive Economic and Industry Insights team anticipates weak economic growth, higher new-vehicle inventories, and an end to the seller’s market. Overall, the team expects 2024 to be the best year for car buyers since the pandemic.

Monthly U.S. Light Vehicle Sales

Vehicle Sales Decreased in September 2024

Vehicles sales decreased by 20% in September 2024, totaling 1.2 million units sold this month.

U.S. Automotive Production

U.S. Auto Production Slows in 2024

In September 2024, U.S. auto production amounted to 123,900 units—a decline of 14% year-over-year.

Michigan Vehicle Production

Michigan Vehicle Production Decreased in September

Michigan vehicle production decreased in September to 185,187 total units. Michigan’s September production was 5.3% lower than August’s production and 12.7% above the level in September 2023. Nationally, production totaled 914,801 units, Michigan totaled 20.2% of the nation’s total vehicle production in September 2024.

Automotive Manufacturing Employment

Vehicle Manufacturing Employment Slightly Decreased in September 

Michigan’s automotive manufacturing employment totaled 164,400 in September 2024, decreasing slightly from the previous month.

Quarterly Economic Indicators

View the latest report from October 2024.